UK Public M&A market update: September – October 2026

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Highlights September – October 2026

01

Deal volume steady: Eight firm offers (YTD 2026: 49; FY 2025: 56)

02

More high-value deals: £5 billion aggregate deal value (YTD 2026: £75.8 billion; FY 2025: £38.2 billion)

03

Oil & gas remains active: Two firm offers; £799 million (YTD 2026: seven firm offers; £1.4 billion)

04

PE engaged at upper end of market: Five firm offers; £4.4 billion (YTD 2026: 18 firm offers; £31.3 billion; FY 2025: 22 firm offers;  £18.2 billion)

05

US bidders active: Involved in five firm offers; £3.4 billion (YTD 2026: 18 firm offers; £47.8 billion)

Quotation

The big ticket M&A frenzy that we witnessed over the summer carried through into early September, culminating in four firm offers totalling £4 billion announced in a single week. US bidders drove much of this activity, and private equity was especially prominent at the top end of the market.


How our predictions are shaping up 


Five days – M&A activity front-loaded

Seven firm offers were announced in September and October with an aggregate deal value of £5 billion. Activity was concentrated during the first week of September with four firm offers with an aggregate deal value of £4 billion announced over five days.


Overseas bidders dominate larger transactions

Overseas bidders have been active in 2026 – particularly on larger transactions – with all but one of the £1 billion+ transactions announced in YTD 2026 involving an overseas bidder. US bidders have led the charge (involved in 18 firm offers; £47.8 billion), with PE bidders being particularly active. Continental European bidders have also been prominent (involved in 12 firm offers; £22.9 billion), with most of this activity involving strategic bidders.


Predictions for the rest of 2026

The White & Case US Public M&A team's outlook for the remainder of the year

Deal values & volume

↑ Elevated
Deal values to increase, driven by transformational strategic M&A. Significant variation in bid premia, with strategics paying robust premia for AI/digital transformation capabilities.

Bidder profile

↑ Elevated
Corporates to remain active, with further consolidation in financial services, natural resources and real estate. PE and infrastructure buyers to remain active, with more “club deals”.

Industry

→ Steady
Technology to be the most active sector, with continued activity in financial services, natural resources and real estate. Targeted activity in healthcare; increased activity in defence and industrials.

Hostile bids and activism 

↑ Rising
More activist campaigns, including increased shorting and the possibility of bids by activists themselves. More “bear hugs” and hostile bids.

Deal features 

→ Steady
Continued use of listed equity to fund bids  and stub equity on PE bids. More “virtual recommended offers”.

Shareholder scrutiny 

→ Watch
Greater shareholder scrutiny leading to prices  being “bumped” or offers withdrawn, plus  more lapsed bids and “near misses”.


Leading Global Public M&A team

Recognized across the leading M&A league tables and award programs

#1

US Law Firm for UK-listed company advisory, including by number of UK-quoted retained, FTSE 250 and FTSE 350 clients 
Corporate Advisers Rankings Guide, 2026

#1

Equity Capital Markets – UK and Europe wide
Chambers, 2026

#1

Activist Representation – UK wide
Chambers UK, 2026

#1

Global Law Firm for Shareholder Activism in the US, Europe and Asia 
Bloomberg 2025

#1

Corporate Team of the Year
The Lawyer Awards, 2025

#1

Public M&A Team of the Year
British Legal Awards, 2024


Representative experience 

  • Wells Fargo Securities, as lead financial adviser to Schroders plc, on the £9.9 billion offer by Nuveen, LLC.
  • The lenders to a consortium comprising EQT and other co investors on their £9.3 billion offer for Intertek.
  • Deliveroo plc on the £2.9 billion offer by DoorDash, Inc.
  • BasePoint Capital on the £571 million offer for International Personal Finance plc.
  • Dar Al Handasah Consultants Shair and Partners Holdings Ltd on its £216 million offer for John Wood Group PLC.
  • Oppenheimer Europe, as financial adviser to Corpay, Inc., on its £1.8 billion offer for Alpha Group International.
  • The lenders to the ADIA, CVC Capital Partners and Nordic Capital consortium on their £5.4 billion offer for Hargreaves Lansdown plc.
  • One of the co-investors to Brookfield on its £2.2 billion offer for Network International Holdings Plc.
     

1 2026 figures reflect firm offers for Main Market and AIM companies publicly announced to 31 October 2026.

White & Case means the international legal practice comprising White & Case LLP, a New York State registered limited liability partnership, White & Case LLP, a limited liability partnership incorporated under English law and all other affiliated partnerships, companies and entities.

This article is prepared for the general information of interested persons. It is not, and does not attempt to be, comprehensive in nature. Due to the general nature of its content, it should not be regarded as legal advice.

© 2026 White & Case LLP

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